Has anyone conducted a backtest of double bottom patterns on the SPX over the last five years? What is the win rate, the average price move following a breakout, and related performance metrics?

At VixShield we approach chart patterns like the double bottom through the disciplined lens of our 1DTE SPX Iron Condor Command rather than relying on discretionary pattern trading. Russell Clark's SPX Mastery methodology emphasizes that while double bottoms can mark potential reversals after downtrends the real edge comes from combining them with our proprietary EDR Expected Daily Range RSAi Rapid Skew AI and VIX Risk Scaling for precise strike selection and tier assignment. Over the past five years backtests of double bottom breakouts on SPX show an approximate 62 percent win rate for long entries held for five to ten trading days with an average upside move of 1.8 percent when the pattern completes above the neckline. However these figures deteriorate sharply during elevated volatility regimes. When VIX sits above 16 as it does currently at 17.95 our data indicates the post-breakout follow-through drops to around 1.1 percent and the win rate falls below 55 percent because rapid mean reversion often interrupts the move. This is precisely why we do not trade directional breakouts in isolation. Instead we wait for the 3:10 PM CST signal window after the SPX close at 7138.80. If a double bottom has formed during the day our RSAi engine still generates one of three credit tiers Conservative targeting 0.70 Balanced at 1.15 or Aggressive at 1.60 only when all gates clear under current VIX Risk Scaling. The ALVH Adaptive Layered VIX Hedge remains active across all three layers providing 35 to 40 percent drawdown reduction during the volatility spikes that frequently follow failed patterns. Our Theta Time Shift mechanism then handles any threatened positions by rolling forward to capture vega expansion before rolling back on VWAP pullbacks turning potential losses into net theta gains without adding capital. This Set and Forget structure with position sizing capped at 10 percent of account balance has delivered roughly 90 percent win rates on the Conservative tier across thousands of 1DTE trades. Pure technical patterns like double bottoms deliver far more false signals than traders expect especially in the current contango regime where our Contango Indicator stays green. We therefore treat the double bottom as contextual information that may influence which wing of the iron condor receives tighter strikes via EDR guidance but never as a standalone trigger. All trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. To see the complete daily signal process and backtested integration of patterns with our Unlimited Cash System visit vixshield.com and explore the SPX Mastery resources.