Strike Selection

How exactly does the EDR indicator integrate VIX9D and historical volatility to determine the three credit tiers of $0.70, $1.15, and $1.60 for VixShield's 1DTE SPX Iron Condors?

VixShield Research Team · Based on SPX Mastery by Russell Clark · May 3, 2026 · 0 views
EDR indicator VIX9D credit tiers strike selection 1DTE iron condors

VixShield Answer

At VixShield, we rely on the EDR Expected Daily Range indicator as the cornerstone of our daily strike selection process for 1DTE SPX Iron Condors. Developed by Russell Clark and available as a custom TradingView tool under ticker SPXDCP, the EDR blends short-term implied volatility from VIX9D with 20-day historical volatility to forecast the likely one-day price excursion of the S&P 500. The precise formula is EDR equals VIX9D multiplied by 0.1 plus historical volatility multiplied by 0.5, then scaled by a regime-based multiplier between 0.8 and 2.0. This produces a percentage range that our RSAi Rapid Skew AI then translates into optimized wing strikes. At current levels with VIX at 17.95 and SPX near 7138.80, an EDR reading around 1.16 percent typically yields wings wide enough to support our three credit tiers while maintaining high-probability outcomes. The Conservative tier targets a $0.70 credit by placing wings farther from the current price, aligning with an approximate 90 percent win rate or roughly 18 winning days out of 20. The Balanced tier seeks $1.15 by tightening the wings modestly, while the Aggressive tier aims for $1.60 with the narrowest wings that still respect our maximum 0.18 delta and sub-0.05 gamma caps. RSAi scans the live skew surface, last four hours of VIX momentum, and SPX position relative to VWAP, then adjusts strikes in five-point increments until the exact premium target is reached in approximately 253 milliseconds. This integration ensures we never chase arbitrary probabilities but instead capture the precise credit the market is offering at 3:10 PM CST each trading day. Our Set and Forget methodology means positions are entered post-close to avoid PDT concerns, with no stop losses applied. Should a position move against us, the Temporal Theta Martingale and Theta Time Shift mechanics allow us to roll threatened condors forward to one-to-seven DTE on EDR readings above 0.94 percent or VIX above 16, then roll back on pullbacks below VWAP to harvest additional theta and recover 88 percent of losses per backtested cycles from 2015 to 2025. The ALVH Adaptive Layered VIX Hedge runs in parallel across short, medium, and long VIX call layers in a four-four-two ratio, trimming drawdowns by 35 to 40 percent during spikes at an annual cost of only one to two percent of account value. Position sizing remains at a maximum of ten percent of portfolio balance. All trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. For deeper implementation details, including live signal examples and indicator access, we invite you to explore the SPX Mastery resources and VixShield membership at vixshield.com.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Options trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all investors. The information on this page is educational only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult a qualified financial professional before trading.

💬 Community Pulse

Community traders often approach EDR by first examining how VIX9D captures near-term implied moves while historical volatility anchors the calculation to realized behavior, allowing more accurate daily range forecasts than VIX alone. A common misconception is that the three credit tiers are chosen arbitrarily, yet experienced members emphasize that RSAi dynamically matches strikes to deliver the exact premium targets of $0.70, $1.15, or $1.60 based on real-time skew rather than fixed distance rules. Discussions frequently highlight the value of combining EDR readings with contango signals and VWAP positioning to decide tier aggressiveness, especially when VIX sits near 17.95 as seen in recent sessions. Many note that Conservative placements feel safer during elevated volatility regimes while Aggressive tiers shine in calm contango environments. Overall, the consensus stresses practicing with the indicator on historical charts before live deployment, recognizing that the Temporal Theta Martingale provides a safety net but works best within strict position-size limits.
📖 Glossary Terms Referenced

APA Citation

VixShield Research Team. (2026). How exactly does the EDR indicator integrate VIX9D and historical volatility to determine the three credit tiers of $0.70, $1.15, and $1.60 for VixShield's 1DTE SPX Iron Condors?. Ask VixShield. Retrieved from https://www.vixshield.com/ask/how-exactly-does-the-edr-indicator-work-with-vix9d-and-historical-vol-to-set-the-three-credit-tiers-070115160

Put This Knowledge to Work

VixShield delivers professional iron condor signals every trading day, built on the methodology behind these answers.

Start Free Trial →

Have a question about this?

Ask below — answered questions may be featured in our knowledge base.

0 / 1000