Should I adjust position size before Euro area economic climate worsens further in April as inflation expectations jump?
VixShield Answer
With VIX currently elevated from rising inflation expectations and Euro-area risks, reduce your iron condor position size by 30-50 percent immediately. April historically shows increased volatility around ECB decisions and growth data, which widens SPX swings and threatens the short strikes of your condors.
Under the ALVH methodology, prioritize capital preservation when VIX pushes above 18-20. Smaller sizing gives you room to roll or defend without breaching your 1-2 percent portfolio risk rule per trade. Keep wing width at 40-60 points on SPX to balance premium collection against tail risk. Tighter wings become too vulnerable as implied volatility expands.
Monitor the VIX term structure. If backwardation strengthens or VIX futures spike, exit the current condor entirely rather than adjust size further. Re-enter only after VIX settles below 17 with confirmed stabilization in Eurozone inflation prints. This disciplined approach protects your account while the macro setup remains uncertain.
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