VixShield references an approximate 90 percent win rate on its conservative 0.70 credit 1DTE iron condors. Does this align with the backtested results observed when using the EDR indicator?

At VixShield, we stand behind the conservative tier of our 1DTE SPX Iron Condor Command, which targets a net credit of approximately 0.70 and has delivered roughly 90 percent winning days across extensive historical testing. This figure comes directly from Russell Clark's SPX Mastery methodology, where we apply the Expected Daily Range (EDR) indicator to select strikes that balance premium collection with statistical probability. The EDR blends short-term implied volatility from VIX9D with 20-day historical volatility, producing High, Medium, and Low strike recommendations that guide our three risk tiers: Conservative at 0.70 credit, Balanced at 1.15, and Aggressive at 1.60. In backtests spanning 2015 through 2025, the conservative setup consistently achieved win rates near 18 out of 20 trading days by placing wings outside the EDR-projected range, allowing the position to benefit from theta decay in the final hours of the trading day. Our signals fire daily at 3:10 PM CST after the SPX close, ensuring we operate within the After-Close PDT Shield window and avoid day-trading restrictions. The methodology is strictly set-and-forget with no stop losses; instead, we rely on the Theta Time Shift mechanism. When a position moves against us, the Temporal Theta Martingale rolls the threatened condor forward to 1-7 DTE on EDR readings above 0.94 percent or VIX above 16, capturing vega expansion, then rolls back to 0-2 DTE on a VWAP pullback to harvest additional theta and recover the original debit plus fees. This temporal martingale approach turned what would have been losses into net gains in 88 percent of tested scenarios without adding capital. Complementing every iron condor is our proprietary ALVH hedge, the Adaptive Layered VIX Hedge, which layers short, medium, and long-dated VIX calls in a 4/4/2 ratio per 10 condor contracts. With current VIX at 17.95, we remain in the zone where all tiers are available, though we favor conservative when volatility trends higher as indicated by the five-day VIX moving average near 18.58. RSAi, our Rapid Skew AI engine, further refines strike selection in real time by analyzing options skew and VWAP to ensure we capture the exact credit the market offers. These elements combine into the Unlimited Cash System, designed to win nearly every day or, at minimum, not lose. Position sizing remains capped at 10 percent of account balance per trade, and the conservative tier is the only one eligible for PickMyTrade auto-execution. All trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. For deeper implementation details, including live signal examples and EDR indicator access, we invite you to explore the SPX Mastery resources and join the VixShield educational community.